Reports

On November 25, 2014, the City of New York submitted to the New York State Financial Control Board a revised four-year financial plan (the “November Plan”) covering fiscal years 2015 through 2018. The November Plan incorporates developments during the first quarter of the current fiscal year, including higher-than-expected tax collections and agency spending. The November Plan shows substantially smaller out-year gaps than projected by the City in June 2014, mostly because of savings from better-than expected pension fund investment earnings in FY 2014 and additional debt refinancings.

On July 28, 2014, the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) released a preliminary budget for 2015 and an associated financial plan (the “July Plan”). The July Plan, which covers 2014 through 2018, shows that the MTA’s short-term financial outlook continues to improve with the economy.

On June 26, 2014, the City of New York submitted to the New York State Financial Control Board a revised financial plan for FY 2014, which ended on June 30, 2014, and a new four-year financial plan (the “June Plan”) for fiscal years 2015 through 2018. The June Plan incorporates the adopted budget for FY 2015 and other revisions since the Mayor released his executive budget.

On May 21, 2014, the City of New York revised its financial plan (the “May Plan”) to update its revenue and expenditure forecasts for fiscal years 2014 through 2018. The May Plan reflects the Mayor’s executive budget for FY 2015 and the recently ratified labor agreement with the United Federation of Teachers (UFT).

On February 12, 2014, the City of New York revised its four-year financial plan (the “February Plan”) to update its revenue and expenditure forecasts, and to begin reflecting the priorities of the new mayoral administration. Since the beginning of the fiscal year, the City has raised its tax revenue forecast by more than $5 billion through FY 2018 because the economy is outperforming the City’s expectations.

On November 21, 2013, the City of New York revised its four-year financial plan (the “November Plan”) to reflect a number of favorable developments since the FY 2014 budget was adopted in June 2013. The City now forecasts that revenues will be higher by $1.1 billion in FY 2014 (mostly from nonrecurring sources), debt service will be lower during the entire financial plan period, and recurring savings will come from a one-year freeze in employee health insurance premiums in FY 2015.

On June 27, 2013, the City of New York submitted to the Financial Control Board a four-year financial plan (“the June Plan”) based on the adopted budget for FY 2014, which began July 1, 2013. The FY 2014 budget is balanced and maintains services at current levels without raising taxes. Although the June Plan projects modest budget gaps in future years, the City has yet to reach new labor agreements with its unions.

On May 2, 2013, the Mayor released his executive budget for FY 2014 and the associated four-year financial plan (“the May Plan”). The May Plan reflects the estimated impact of federal sequestration, the cost of Superstorm Sandy and the enacted State budget. Although the May Plan projects modest budget gaps beginning in FY 2015, the City has yet to reach new labor agreements with its unions.

On January 29, 2013, Mayor Bloomberg released his executive budget for FY 2014 and the associated four-year financial plan (“the January Plan”). The January Plan reflects the City’s failure to reach agreement with the United Federation of Teachers on a new teacher evaluation system, which may result in the loss of $250 million in State education aid and cuts in educational services. The January Plan also reflects the estimated cost of Superstorm Sandy.

On November 9, 2012, Mayor Bloomberg revised New York City’s four-year financial plan (the “November Plan”) to reflect a delay in the planned sale of additional taxi medallions caused by legal challenges. Previously, the City’s financial plan had counted on the receipt of $635 million from the sale in FY 2013, and a total of $1.5 billion over three years. The City no longer anticipates the receipt of any sale proceeds in the current fiscal year, and now expects to realize $1.5 billion during fiscal years 2014 through 2016.

On July 25, 2012, the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) released a revised four-year financial plan (“the July Plan”). A review finds that the MTA’s finances have improved appreciably over the past two years.

One year ago, New York City projected a budget gap of $4.6 billion for FY 2013 and out-year gaps that reached $4.9 billion. Since then, the City has successfully closed the FY 2013 budget gap and narrowed the FY 2014 budget gap to $2.5 billion without raising taxes or cutting basic services. Most of the improvement, however, has not come from higher revenue forecasts, but from drawing down reserves and other nonrecurring resources.

Nearly one year ago, New York City adopted a balanced budget for FY 2012, but projected a budget gap of $4.6 billion for FY 2013, and even larger gaps for subsequent years. On May 3, 2012, the Mayor issued his executive budget for FY 2013 and an associated four-year financial plan (the “May Plan”). The City now projects a modest surplus for FY 2012, a balanced budget for FY 2013, and out-year budget gaps that average $3.3 billion.

In June 2011, New York City projected a balanced budget for FY 2012 but a large budget gap of $4.6 billion in FY 2013, and even larger gaps in subsequent years. On February 2, 2012, the City issued a revised financial plan (the “February Plan”). The City has closed the FY 2013 budget gap and narrowed the outyear gaps to $3 billion in FY 2014 and about $3.5 billion in subsequent years. Most of the improvement comes from freeing up reserves (nearly $5 billion), proceeds from the anticipated sale of taxi medallions ($1 billion) and savings from agency actions.

On November 18, 2011, New York City issued a revised financial plan covering fiscal years 2012 through 2015 (the “November Plan”). Mostly as a result of unplanned spending in the uniformed agencies, the out-year budget gaps have grown by half a billion dollars to $5 billion in FY 2013 and about $5.5 billion in both FY 2014 and FY 2015.

On June 29, 2011, New York City adopted a $65.9 billion budget ($46.5 billion in City funds) for FY 2012, which began on July 1, 2011. While the budget is balanced, it relies on $5.1 billion in nonrecurring resources, including the FY 2011 surplus and a drawdown from the Retiree Health Benefits Trust. These resources will have to be replaced in subsequent years, and even though the City’s economy is slowly improving, the June 2011 financial plan (the “June Plan”) projects budget gaps that average $4.8 billion during fiscal years 2013 through 2015.

New York City’s May 2011 financial plan (the “May Plan”) projects a surplus of $3.2 billion for FY 2011, resulting largely from a drawdown in reserves, higher revenues due to an improving economy, and agency cost-reduction actions. The City intends to transfer the surplus to FY 2012 to help balance that year’s budget.

New York City’s economy is recovering from the recession at a faster pace than the nation and the rest of New York State. Since job losses ended in November 2009, the City has gained 73,400 private sector jobs, or half of the jobs lost in the recession, but public sector job losses are beginning to accelerate. While the unemployment rate has declined from a peak of 10 percent to 8.9 percent, it remains unacceptably high.

New York City’s economy is recovering from the recession at a faster pace than the nation and the rest of New York State. In the ten months after December 2009, the City regained 76,300 private sector jobs—about 47 percent of the jobs lost— but the unemployment rate remains high.

The recession has been less severe in New York City than in the nation and in other parts of New York State, and less severe than first feared, but the impact has been painful nonetheless. New York City lost 185,500 jobs; the unemployment rate peaked at 10.5 percent in November 2009, the highest rate in 17 years; and tax revenues fell by 7.1 percent in FY 2009 ($2.8 billion), the steepest decline in at least 30 years.